Sizing — 5 min read

Why office leverage is where it is

It is not sentiment. It is one number, and you can watch it do the work.

A glass office building against a pale sky

Sponsors often read low office leverage as a mood — lenders being cautious, capital being scarce. It is more mechanical than that. Change one input and the leverage falls out of the arithmetic without anybody having an opinion.

The number is the debt yield floor

A property with one million dollars of net operating income supports $12.5M of debt at an 8% debt yield floor. The same property supports $8.3M at 12%. That is a 34% reduction in proceeds produced by a single underwriting parameter, with no change to the rate, the appraisal or the sponsor.

−34%
Change in maximum proceeds when the debt yield floor moves from 8% to 12%, holding everything else constant.

Why the floor is higher for office

Debt yield is the test that survives a wrong appraisal, and office values have been the least stable. It is also the test that survives rollover: a floor set at 12% assumes the income might not all be there, which on a building with concentrated near-term expiry is not pessimism but arithmetic.

What moves it back

Lease term. A building with a weighted-average lease term running past the loan maturity is a different asset from one with half its area expiring in year three, and it is underwritten as one. The rest — capital plans, amenity spend, a strong sponsor — is real but second order next to term.

Written for a demonstration site. Chordline Commercial Capital is fictional and every figure quoted above is illustrative rather than observed.Full disclosures.

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